Capcom Cup 2017 Player Analysis: Is Mago truly the last boss?

Kenryo “Mago” Hayashi has long been the highest-rated player without a sponsor on the Capcom Pro Tour. Last year saw him squeeze his Karin into the Capcom Cup bracket by a hair, winning the Asia Regional Finals to qualify. He later finished just outside of top 16 in the finals.

This year saw him took advantage of the points system, allowing him to qualify a lot sooner than November. Will the 2D God still be worshiped after the tournament?

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No Laughing Matter

Mago has made serious strides in improving his game over the last year. He has become one of the most aggressive Karins on the planet. You’ll often see him using his footsies game to set up a full out onslaught during a match. His pressure is enough to make a lot of players crack, including some who usually would not usually be so inclined.

Rashid SFVWhile Karin is one of the best characters in the cast — and has been for the entirety of the game’s lifespan — she still suffers some downsides in certain match-ups. Mago has opted to use that as incentive to train up a secondary in Rashid, and has brought him out throughout the year — including at OzHadou Nationals, where he used it to prevent ROF’s Birdie from making it to top 8. These are two solid characters that, despite having different toolsets, have one goal in mind: oppression.

Results-oriented

This oppression has given Mago a large swath of success this season. In fifteen events on the circuit, he has managed to top 8 eight times. He also focused the entirety of this season on the CPT, not allowing himself to be distracted by invitational events in China, France, the United States, or Canada. He also opted not to attend Brooklyn Beatdown. The goal for him was clear: to get noticed by his play on the CPT, and to parlay that play into a chance at winning Capcom Cup. His focus more than rewarded him with that opportunity.

Defense

sfv-karin-vtrigger-tall-1If there’s one thing that Mago struggles with, it’s his own defensive play. While we’d expect Mago to have a complete repertoire of tools, he has mainly relied on his offensive options to score his wins. In an offensive game such as Street Fighter V, it’s an understandable tactic. But the problem is that people forget that because this is an offensive game, having strong defense is almost paramount to winning. Once you get opened up by an opponent’s offense, it’s hard to stop the onslaught.

Mago thrives when he is applying the pressure, but cracks when the pressure is applied to him. This makes characters like Rashid and Ibuki difficult for him to deal with. It’s why, in the above video, we saw it go down to the wire against Tachikawa, and why he later folded to Moke’s Rashid at the same event.

Results Lacking

And that brings me to the next point. Upon losing to Moke at OHN, that became his highest-placing finish on the CPT this year. While OHN had a solid lineup of players, having your sole second place finish be at a ranking event, and not being able to replicate that anywhere else, doesn’t exude confidence in your play. When you also factor in last year’s performance, which included two wins, a Ranking and Premier event, it makes you wonder if Hayashi has really done enough to put himself in position to win the big one.

Final Thoughts

Don’t start praying to Mago just yet. Let’s not forget that Tokido’s appointed “Last Boss” at Evo 2017 lost in pools to a Connecticut-based Necalli player, and never even made it out. Let’s also not forget that Mago is about to go up against players that are all too familiar with his style of play, and will know how to exploit his weaknesses.

Mago could crack top 16, but it’s hard to put him any higher than that, given what we’ve seen this year.


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Capcom Cup 2017 Player Analysis: Will MenaRD bring victory home to the Dominican Republic?

Latin America has seen a surge in presence at international Street Fighter events. While they have sent at least one entrant to Capcom Cup every year since 2014, this year sees them sending three. RISE Nation’s Saul “MenaRD” Segundo has quickly risen in the ranks with his brutal Birdie play, to make him one of two entrants from Latin America to get in on points.

Last year’s Dominican representative DR Ray shocked the world by putting Tokido into losers bracket in the first round of play. Will MenaRD continue the trend this year?

YOLO

When I talked to fellow Birdie main ROF in March of last year about approaching the game with Birdie, he talked about how many risks you must take in order to succeed with the character. While he was talking about his own play, he ultimately also described Segundo’s play as well. MenaRD is known to take risks, utilizing EX reversals in a way that can rattle his opponents. This is not an easy feat. It’s expected that players will use EX reversals to escape pressure. MenaRD, knowing how difficult the path of Birdie can be, has calculated when to take those risks with aplomb.

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Using some heavy gambles, including well-timed Dolphin Dives, has made him very hard to read for many players, leaving them only trying to apply the pressure to prevent him from being able to play his game. But given that he maintains composure even under pressure, preventing Segundo from playing his game is no easy feat.

Go for the W

MenaRD holds the second-most wins on the Latin circuit by a wide margin. While Brolynho may have had a chokehold on the region, MenaRD was not far behind, usually taking events that Brolynho failed to win. Out of ten events he played, he was able to reach top 8 in six, and win twice.

Further, while I may have chided Brolynho for his lack of travel outside of the region, Segundo did exactly that, and showed what he could do facing the best in the world. With several top 8 finishes in North America, including fourth at Brooklyn Beatdown, he has shown that he has the chops to take out the big names.

Laundry List of Victims

If we’re looking at some of the people MenaRD needs to face down to win this event, he certainly has a few names to boast about beating. At Brooklyn Beatdown, he bested Smug and Haitani. At SoCal Regionals, he beat Verloren and Punk. At CEO he bested Daigo Umehara. At Combo Breaker, he was able to beat Verloren yet again, as well as Momochi.

This is a confident Latin American player, that has the potential to literally beat any top player he comes across. He has been a demon to a couple of these players I’ve listed off, so the sky is the limit.

Birdie Nostalgia

Final Thoughts

I feel like MenaRD is the Latin region’s best hope at doing well, but I hesitate at giving him the top slot this year. His Birdie can be insanely dangerous, but it can also pose dangers to himself, as the character does carry inherent risks. When his risks pay off, he excels. When they don’t, you tend to shrug him off as incapable of closing it out at the higher ranks.

With Birdie, every tournament is a crap shoot, and you have players specifically training characters to beat characters like Birdie, as evidenced by Mago’s pick of Rashid at OHN. He has a tough road to go down — but if anyone can do it, MenaRD is the man to walk it.


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Capcom Cup 2017 Player Analysis: Smug prepares to duff up the competition

Bryant “Smug” Huggins wasn’t seen much last year on the CPT. While the first half of the season saw him focus on his studies, the latter half saw him adjusting to a new character, in Balrog. The Dudley main in Street Fighter IV was merely biding his time.

This year saw RISE|Smug bloom into one of the strongest players in North America, earning him a place in the Capcom Cup 2017. Will the mayor of Duff City upgrade his status to president of Duff Nation…?

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Duff

While it could be assumed that any solid Balrog player on the CPT this year would ascribe their success to the buffs the character received in Season 2, this would be doing a disservice to Smug. If you look back on his success in Street Fighter IV, Huggins was known for dealing out massive amounts of damage and disrespect with his mix-up-heavy Dudley. In that game, Balrog was far more linear a character. Come Street Fighter V, those same traits that made Smug strong with Dudley allowed him to shine with this iteration of Balrog.

His mix-up game has always been his biggest asset, and being able to deal massive amounts of damage from any given touch makes Smug a beast. Further, Smug is one of the best players at reading player tendencies on the circuit. While he will often be seen doing seemingly-random EX uppercuts and dash punches, these moves are often calculated on the belief that his opponent will be pushing buttons. He’s right more often than he is wrong.

More Duffs

Since the start of the year, he has taken his beatdowns on the road, and it has proven profitable for Huggins. Having entered 13 tournaments solely in North America, he has eight top 8s and one win to his name on the CPT this year. When you also factor in top 8 appearances at Brooklyn Beatdown, Northern Arena Knockout, and E3, as well as just narrowly missing the cut at ELEAGUE, Smug has had a banner year.

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Less Duffs

One of the biggest challenges Smug faces is his own character. It’s argued across the world that Balrog is one of the strongest characters in the game, if not the absolute best. Much like Sagat in Vanilla SFIV — or Yun in SFIVAE — when you are the best, people are dissecting their personal match-ups against that character to learn how to beat them. In Vanilla SFIV, you never really saw a Sagat win a major, and in Arcade Edition, only a scant few Yuns made that ascent. This is because despite tier lists undisputedly ranking them tops, the true competitors will learn to exploit everything there is to exploit about the character.

sfv balrog getting psycho powered by edTo date, there is only one Balrog in Capcom Cup — although the Last Chance Qualifier could change that. But make no mistake: the world is ready for Smug, as he is widely accepted as the best exponent of Street Fighter V’s best character.

That’s why we’ve seen him struggle with the likes of Phenom, MenaRD, and Fuudo. While he has a habit of beating top players like Daigo Umehara, there are still demons left in the bracket that will make it tough for him to progress.

Final Duffs

Smug has the potential to make it to top 8 — even win it all if he pulls out all the stops. There’s still a swath of Japanese players that struggle against Balrog, and some of them reside in the Capcom Cup bracket.

The problem is the Western players are overall ready for him. He’s got a tough hill to climb to put himself in the position to take it all.


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Capcom Cup 2017 Player Analysis: Will Moke be rookie of the year?

When the road to top 8 closed at Evo 2017, one name on the list of players left most people confused. Naoki “Moke” Nakayama shocked the world in his ascent to top 8 in his very first international event, and at the biggest one of all, at that. He continued to wow until he bowed out in fifth place from a loss to Itabashi Zangief.

After a rapid rise in the ranks at Evo, he continued to mesmerize, quickly amassing enough points to find himself in Capcom Cup 2017 in his first year of competitive play. Will he be the story of the year in taking it all?

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The Funnel Cloud

Moke is one of the few players I see use Rashid’s entire repertoire well. While Oil King is strong in the neutral and Gachikun’s aggression rattles players, Moke is about that and more. He is able to play a strong zoning game, while also pushing players further into desperation with his aggression. He also takes some pages from Xiao Hai’s book by baiting people to make desperate attempts to escape the corner and then punishing, either by taking a step back to get a Spinning Mixer, or by going far enough away to land a V-Trigger into a full combo.

Further, Rashid players are so used to applying pressure that they have difficulties escaping it themselves. Moke is again the exception, utilizing a mixture of V-Reversal and EX Spinning Mixer to escape pressure. Many Rashids are afraid of using V-Reversal based on the mix-up potential of V-Trigger, but Moke has been smart in utilizing both tools to keep himself alive.

Short Season

Moke was able to make Capcom Cup on an abbreviated season. While we talk about his international debut at Evo, his first collection of points came from an online event in June. From then on, he was collecting points like it was going out of style. In the second half of the year — from Evo on — he made five top 8s out of 10 tournaments, including a win at OzHadou Nationals in Australia.

This burst of results not only netted him a sponsor, but enough points to easily secure himself Capcom Cup. He was also able to turn some heads with some wins against high profile players, including MOV at Evo 2017, and others he might face Capcom Cup this year.

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After Evo

After Evo however, he was only able to replicate his success in a Premier only once: with a fourth place at D3 in Chengdu, China. While he was able to take out Capcom Cup-qualified players such as Momochi, GO1 and Verloren on the way to that, he was ultimately sent home by Yukadon and Fuudo, both players ranked within the top 10 of the season.

Beyond that, his success was relegated to ranking events. In Premiers, he was having great difficulties in making it happen. The more stacked the event, such as Japan Cup, the more he faltered — even losing to players not even in contention for Capcom Cup. While this may initially sound like he’s not as solid as his Evo finish may state, it stands to mention that some semblance of familiarity came into play. Being eliminated by all Japanese players shows that they just simply knew his tendencies: having started from playing online solely, players within the region were familiar with Moke.

By October, Moke was finding his stride. He did well at Canada Cup and nearly made top 8. However, he was eliminated by Justin Wong and 801 Strider, two players also qualified for Capcom Cup. While he may have discounted the explosiveness of Laura to give Strider the leg up, Justin is a player who would possibly have been the underdog against Moke. Yet, Moke clearly was found lacking in the match, making people question his ability to close it out on the bigger stages.

Final Thoughts

There is no way you can discredit Moke’s sudden rise: he’s earned it. However, in his first year of international play, he’s definitely going to — and has — hit some speed bumps.

His play against the best of the best is questionable right now, and can show streakiness that possibly alludes to a pattern they’re catching on to with his play. He’ll learn how to break through this at some point. But right now, let’s just say he’ll be fortunate to get two wins before bowing out in this kind of competition.


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Additional source: KFighter032

Capcom Cup 2017 Player Analysis: Will Phenom be Europe’s first Capcom Cup champion?

Arman “Phenom” Hanjani was far and away Europe’s best player in 2016. While known in the region for a while, he was able to let the whole world know his strength with a huge string of top 8s on his way to a ninth-place finish at Capcom Cup.

2017 has been another very strong year for Bx3|Phenom, as he has once again found his way to the biggest event of the year. Will 2017 be the year that he finds his place at the top of the heap?

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Unleashing His Final Form

Last year, the Norwegian was the most consistent Necalli on the circuit. He was also one of the most disrespectful — one of the kindest ways to describe his play style. That hasn’t changed. He continues to play a very aggressive game, also putting players into situations where they’re scared to push buttons. He is great at setting up throw loops, but has also become better at making them think he’ll do so. This allows him to scare them into jumping so that he’ll get anti-airs, inevitably scaring them into bigger risks in trying to escape his pressure.

He’s also able to maintain momentum. Like Haitani, he isn’t scared to avoid using V-Trigger. Last year saw him ride V-Trigger for all it’s worth, but with the changing meta, he has now been milking Necalli’s strong V-Reversal as well. As far as well-rounded Necallis go, it’s currently a dead heat between Phenom and Haitani. Capcom Cup could well prove the difference.

Hot on the Trail

One thing that Phenom has done is stay strong within the standings. Currently he is still ranked within the top 15 of the SRK Rankings, but beyond that, his tournament results speak well for his abilities. In ten events, he finished in the top 8 six times, with one being a win in Germany in a field that featured fellow Capcom Cup finalists Problem X and Big Bird. Off the CPT circuit, he also finished third in a stacked bracket at Northern Arena Knockout, fourth in China’s LAN Story Cup, and won yet another event in France, which featured Problem X falling short of victory. He also finished just shy of toppling Punk’s dominance at ELEAGUE.

When you look even deeper in his results, only one event in 2017 that he has played in has seen him finish outside of top 16 — and that was Evo, where he just narrowly missed out. If you want to talk about results, Phenom has them in spades.

Necalli Critical Art

Wins are Key

The one thing that you could even say about Phenom in 2016 against Phenom in 2017, is that he had more wins in the previous year — two instead of one. That could almost be negligible if you don’t consider that one of his wins was in a Premier event, and the only event he won in 2017 on the tour was a Ranking event. This could simply be that he traveled more last year and saw a better chance at results. Remember that Phenom wasn’t necessarily projected to win DreamHack Summer last year when he did. This means that people had far less initiative to actually research his play prior to the event, and thus weren’t as prepared for what he was bringing to the table.

It’s quite possible that Phenom’s fame has been a thorn in his side this season, with more people prepared when they know that he’s there. This may be why he performed well against Japanese players in Japan and throughout all of 2016, but falters now. He has struggled against the likes of Momochi and Yukadon, with Nemo, Kazunoko, and Haitani also taking victories over him. Given that so many of these players are names he’ll have to prepare for in Anaheim, he’ll need to have made adjustments prior to arriving this week.

Final Thoughts

I never really count Phenom out. He has the work ethic to make the adjustments, and he always seems to come through when it matters. Whether he has the mettle to win or not is unseen, but it would be a disservice to him to count him out of at least a top 16 performance.


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Additional source: RektScrub

Capcom Cup 2017 Player Analysis: Can Ricki Ortiz return to glory?

Liquid|NuckleDu was easily one of the favorites going into Capcom Cup 2107, due to his consistency on the Capcom Pro Tour this season. However, the 2016 champion has bowed out (for reasons that are currently not publicly known) — this blew the door wide open, as last year’s runner up EG|Ricki Ortiz steps in to fill his slot.

Not much has been seen of Ricki this year. How will she stack up in this year’s competition?

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Character Crisis

After being one of the strongest Chun-Lis in the world last year, Ricki found herself struggling in 2017 after the changes to the character in Season 2. After Ricki finished outside of top 32 at Final Round XX, she expressed her concerns with the character’s viability in an interview with Red Bull, later going as far to say that she would look into learning Cammy if she continued to feel unconfident with Chun.

CammyWhile we saw glimpses of her Cammy at ELEAGUE and Toryuken, the character never really took hold, and she continued to gut it out with Chun. But the lack of confidence was obviously still there, as we saw her fall out early in far more events than her status at the end of 2016 would allude to.

One thing that you can remark on was the nerfs to Chun-Li’s instant air legs, a tool that Ricki was notably adept at using. Ricki and Humanbomb both used this tool well in 2016, and while Humanbomb adjusted to the changes, Ricki saw herself get punished often for her usage of it. But probably the most-damning of nerfs was to her standing light kick — her best anti-air by a long shot. While Ricki has had experience with Chun-Li — and her bevy of situational anti-airs — in Street Fighter IV, the changes to standing light kick made players lean even more on situational anti-airs than ever before. What was worse was that these situational anti-airs were far less reliable than ever. When you look at it this way, it’s no wonder Ricki’s confidence waned: she really was at a loss for how to play this character, and yet couldn’t find anyone that fit her playstyle.

The Tale of the Tape

While we saw far less of Ricki than we have in previous years, what we did was enough to make people worry about her coming in to Anaheim this weekend. In the entirety of the CPT this year, she didn’t make a single top 8 in ten attempts. When she finished just on the cusp at DreamHack Austin, she offered a glimmer of hope that she would return to her former glory, but the rest of the year turned out to be a wash.

With many lower echelon placings, she further saw a lot of confidence drop at Toryuken, where she was eliminated in pools by two Toronto locals: VastEnd and L.E.S. While anyone who has followed Toronto players would know that there’s no shame in losing to these two — VastEnd would later upstage Punk at Canada Cup, while L.E.S. would go on to take a laundry list of names such as Justin Wong — for Ricki, it further set a slide in her confidence. This was a confidence level already shattered by posting a 0-7 record at ELEAGUE, in a pool that featured a Julio Fuentes bouncing back from injury.

Silence

After Defend the North, we saw Ricki take a break. While a break typically looks bad, for her, it seemed necessary. Whether she was dealing with personal issues or trying to work out the holes in her game, it was needed. While the season was at that point becoming a wash for her, time would tell how she would bounce back.

We got our answer at Canada Cup, where she was able to find her way out of pools, but narrowly finished outside of top 16. As bleak as this would look for someone who finished second last year at Capcom Cup, for her — given her struggles on the tour this season — it totally looks like the breath of fresh air she needed.

However, her losses in Toronto came at the hands of Problem X — one player poised to be a major problem at Capcom Cup — and NL, who just narrowly finished outside of the event.

Final Thoughts

As much as I’d like to find a reason to put faith in Ricki to be another hope for America to take it all again, it’s really hard to. She may have worked some things out recently that would put her in a better spot come Anaheim, but it’s really hard to know until we actually see her in action. But facing facts, she didn’t even come close to earning this spot into the event: if this were to go by points, it would have gone to the #31-ranked NL, not the #84-ranked Ricki Ortiz. Further, you can’t discount what these strings of losses can do to you mentally, when you know what you’re usually capable of.

Between her character and her results this year, I would be surprised to find her going anything but 0-2 in this event. Anything can happen, so she could easily surprise me. But hopefully Season 3 gives her a new lease on life in the game, and she shows her true mettle in 2018.

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Additional source: Masked Gaming Entertainment

Capcom Cup 2017 Player Analysis: Will Snake Eyez choose to win at any cost?

It goes without saying that Red Bull’s & Cygames Beast’s Darryl “Snake Eyez” Lewis is having a banner year. The long-time Zangief main stuck to his guns despite his hesitance in Season 1 with the character, and the rewards for doing so were immense. With detractors doubting the character’s tournament viability, Lewis became the first Zangief main to take a CPT Premier event with the character, at CEO.

Now, will he be the first Zangief main to hoist the Capcom Cup — and test its durability by giving it a Spinning Piledriver?

Muscle with a Dash of Demon

sfv_akuma_readyWe could argue for a long time about who is better between Itabashi Zangief and Snake Eyez with the Red Cyclone. While Itazan has stellar results going pure Zangief, he has yet to close out an event. Snake Eyez was able to win a major, but had to fall back on his Akuma secondary to achieve it. Does having a secondary make Snake Eyez a lesser Zangief player?

Not necessarily. We talked about Itazan’s struggles, and he does have issues in various match-ups that he will inevitably face on his road through a tournament. The problem is he doesn’t mitigate those difficult match-ups with another character, and thus suffers in a lack of wins for it.

Snake Eyez at least positions himself at a chance to win events. While he was able to shock the world with his top 8 performance at Evo 2014 in Ultra Street Fighter IV using purely Zangief, later results would see him gravitate toward using Evil Ryu to mitigate his bad match-ups. He carried this over in Street Fighter V with Akuma. As a result, those bad match-ups are marginalized. These are the marks of a champion, and Snake Eyez has made himself that this season.

Low Seed, Big Potential

One of the things to note is despite his CEO win, he is seeded lower than Itazan. But if you look at the events the two have played, it makes sense. Lewis stuck mostly to North American events, and this allowed him time to play Ranking events to get points to qualify. Itazan played fewer events, but placed high in several Premier events, as well as Evo, to get the leg up.

But if you look at his records, out of 11 CPT events he played — including Toryuken where he didn’t make it out of pools — Snake Eyez made it to top 8 of a staggering seven. This consistency is why when he’s prepared mentally to play, he is a dangerous man regardless of seeding.

Evo and Beyond

High expectations were on Lewis at Evo 2017 after his victory at CEO. However, he failed to make it out of his second round of pools due to a loss against Imstilldadaddy. While he did make a mistake at the end of the game that cost him the match, perhaps the bigger mistake was sticking to Zangief in a match-up that favors Guile in the first place.

Since then, he was able to make two top 8s, but his results have slipped some. He was unable to make top 16 at Brooklyn Beatdown, and went out just inside of top 64 at the North American Regional Finals Last Chance Qualifier. While the latter tournament was of lesser consequence since he was already qualified for Capcom Cup, Brooklyn Beatdown was definitely a thorn in his side. Losing to both Justin Wong and John Takeuchi, we saw no instance of his Akuma being played. While playing Zangief against Karin made sense, he most certainly could’ve considered Akuma against Takeuchi’s Rashid, and didn’t. Is it possible that he’s starting to go the way of Itazan, and rock Zangief exclusively again?

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Final Thoughts

If he is doing that, it’s going to be detrimental to his success at Capcom Cup. With his Akuma on point, there is no doubt he can shake people in tournament. With just Zangief, he faces the same problems Itazan does with an upper half of the bracket that’s chock full of his most difficult match-ups — his very first opponent will be Oil King’s Rashid.

He needs to come with his both his characters intact to have a chance. Without that, he could see himself out quickly. With that, the sky is the limit.


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Capcom Cup 2017 Player Analysis: Can GO1 predict his own victory?

While Cyclops Osaka’s Goichi “GO1” Kishida may have been a surprise to people in his success last year, no one could be surprised at further success this year. Having reached top 8 in both Evo and Capcom Cup, he made a name for himself within the FGC as one of the most-respected new players in the circuit.

Despite character changes over the course of the year, GO1 again finds himself in the thick of things. While he missed out on a repeat Evo top 8 performance, he has a chance to reach top 8 once again at Capcom Cup. Will he be able to cap off his season with the biggest prize?

Changes in Programming

SFV ChunGO1 was well known for being a highly-technical player last year. Using surgical precision with his Chun-Li, he rarely missed a confirm or a combo. This could be owed to his play in anime fighters, where that sort of precision must be possessed to be competent.

With the changes in Chun-Li in Season 2, GO1 sought out other characters that fit the mold. While Ibuki was an easy fit, there was one Season 2 character that caught his eye. We have seen flashes of his Menat on the circuit — as well as in his online matches — and it looks solid. With the character having precise combos and mix-ups, GO1 makes her look easy.

This is a character that is not only able to stonewall characters, but also able to tear down walls that other characters present. GO1 does this well, and switches between both mentalities quickly. This is a character that fits him well, but that’s not to say his Ibuki is a slouch. He possesses every single solid trait that an Ibuki player needs to have, which also falls in line with his strength with Menat.

Running the Gauntlet

I’ve talked a lot of about players who have traveled extensively this season, but when I looked at GO1’s results, my jaw dropped. This man has played a staggering 21 events over the course of 2017 on the CPT — not even counting the Red Bull: Tower of Pride event he just recently competed in. In these events, he was able to make the top 8 seven times. He was also in the top 16 an additional 10 times. These are huge results, given the amount of time he’s spent traveling.

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It’s also worth noting that during this exact same time span, he also made top 8 in five Guilty Gear Xrd tournaments, winning one, and three Blazblue top 8s. This shows some amazing focus that despite playing multiple games, he has been on when it counts in all three games he’s been playing. While some players who split their focus between games falter, he hasn’t.

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Desire

One story I’d like to relay, that I don’t think was touched on after Canada Cup, was that after he fell in second place to Dogura in Street Fighter V, Goichi was near inconsolable. He was actually hunched over on the stage tearfully. People were confused by his display of emotions, and without looking at the list, were remarking erroneously that they thought he was out of Capcom Cup with second place.

Obviously, this wasn’t the case. But if you look back on his results, you can probably guess why he was so upset. He had a string of top 8s, but never anything higher than fourth place to hang his hat on. When he made Grand Finals, you could tell he wanted to win. That loss hit him hard, and it showed.

When you look back further, outside of smaller local events in Japan, he has yet to win anything. You can tell the pressure is on for him to win something, and he has fallen short every time. It’s grating on his confidence, and this is a cause for concern going into Capcom Cup.

Final Thoughts

GO1 is going to get there one day, but things are going to have to change. One of the things I mentioned about Tokido last year that he rectified, was his diversification into other games affecting his performances. While he was making top 8s, he wasn’t winning. This is also something GO1 is falling victim to.

If he wants to be a winner and truly call himself a champion, and Capcom Cup truly means this much to him, he’ll have to shy away from his other games to really focus on SFV. If he is in it to have fun — then by all means, keep playing what he wants. But when your focus is to win, you need to do whatever it takes to get there.

Right now, he wants to win, but isn’t going all out to get there. If he makes top 8 again, expect his road to end there until he makes a decision about which game deserves all his attention.

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Capcom Cup 2017: Gachikun prepares to blow away the competition with a gust

Rashid has been a popular character for breakout stars in Street Fighter V this season. Kanemori “Gachikun” Tsunehiro — despite being known for his Sagat play in Street Fighter IV — has been one such breakout star. Currently, he sits as the highest-ranked player in the CPT standings without a sponsorship.

Obviously, one can’t expect him to remain unsponsored for long — and doubly so, if he performs well at his first Capcom Cup appearance. What are the odds of that happening?

The Wind Always Blows in Your Face

One of the first things you notice about Gachikun is how aggressive his Rashid is. From moment one, he starts out with aggression. If you are not prepared for a relentless assault, Gachikun is simply going to shake you to your core.

This would almost seem like a stark contrast from play Street Fighter IV, given his character choices. However, if you look at his Sagat in the game, he put himself in far more aggressive ranges than Sagat players typically do. Whereas most players would rely on the zoning game and reactionary play from that, Gachikun was prone to playing a solid footsies game on top of the fireball game. He always likes to be in your face,  within reason — obviously point blank doesn’t work with Sagat in SFIV, but it’s a range that Rashid thrives in. This character rewards his aggression well, and allows him to win a lot on rattling his opponents who would rather him be further away.

Rolling in the Thick of Things

In his breakout year, Gachikun has put together an impressive string of results. In a matter of seven Premier events, he placed in the top 8 four times, with two second place finishes. All of these strong finishes have put him in a great spot for his seeding at #15, after NuckleDu dropped out.

Further, he has done well off the circuit, with a second-place finish at Red Bull Kumite. He has consistently been near the top of the heap, and his results show that.

The Ceiling

But his consistency is also his sign of having difficulties winning it all. Second place is the best he has done in any event. Even during Esports Festival Hong Kong, Zhi remarked that Daigo said that he struggled against Gachikun, only to beat him twice on the way to the title. He was further toppled by Nemo at Red Bull Kumite, Infiltration at Manila Cup, and Problem X at EGX. He also lost to Yukadon and Fuudo at D3.

Several of these characters show a pattern. With Urien, Guile, and Ibuki, they have the ability to zone him out and keep him away from that range he loves to utilize throughout the duration of a round. Even if they aren’t able to, they have options to push him off relatively well.

With a character like Bison in Problem X, Bison loves to do the exact things Gachikun likes, but has even better spacing, which makes it more difficult to push him away. This forces Gachikun to be even more careful in his approach, and makes every knockdown difficult to deal with for him. Infiltration’s Juri provided much of the same frustration for him, including more mix-ups.

But while these individual matches can make life a veritable hell for Gachikun’s Rashid, the problem also stems from within Gachikun. His limited tournament experience on the international stage has definitely been the empty space in his toolbox, and it will take some time for him to adjust. Doing well in Topanga league is a far different experience than doing well in double-elimination tournaments. He’s finding that out, and will need to adapt to this in order to see his stock rise.

Rashid SFV

Final Thoughts

Gachikun is going to wow some people. His aggression is something that will blow some people’s minds. But the problem is he’s facing players who already know this — his first round is against GO1, who will know full well what he’ll see from Gachikun.

Western players will be far more taken aback, and for this reason, he stands to possibly make top 8. I just wouldn’t place money on him come Grand Finals, if he gets that far.


Check out our prior articles in the Capcom Cup 2017 Player Analysis series!

Capcom Cup 2017 Player Analysis: Brolynho is the king of Latin America

Thomas “Brolynho” Proença has had a banner year. While he was unable to truly show off what he was made of at Capcom Cup 2016 — winning just one match — the drive to get better from that showing was obvious. He has dominated the Latin American region, and cemented his return ticket to Capcom Cup with relative ease.

Is the second time a charm for the Brazilian?

sfv_necalli_menacing

Devour

Last year, I commented on his well-rounded Necalli play. He was using every tool to the best of his knowledge, and made it work. He later found that at Capcom Cup, that doesn’t work out as well.

F3|Brolynho has clearly recognized how much Street Fighter V rewards aggression, and has turned that factor up a notch. He seems to be taking pages from Xiao Hai’s strategy and only giving up space to let opponents hang themselves. You often see Brolynho back up to bait players into making unsafe and desperate approaches, only to have the right button to stuff it. This kind of play makes you almost scared to do anything — which makes it an easy road to victory for him.

All He Does Is Win

Proença has earned his spot in spades this year. Having only really played in Latin America, he won a string of ranking events that can hardly be contested by anyone. In a staggering nine events, he has won five. Further, in all eight ranking events he played within the region, he didn’t miss top 8 in any of them.

While this speaks of his success in Latin America, the one international CPT event he played in was Evo, where he made top 32. This shows that he has the chops to play on the international stage. Further, he was just shy of making top 16 at Brooklyn Beatdown, again proving his mettle.

ISO Frequent Flyer Miles

The one thing that can nag you about Brolynho is just how little he has traveled this year. Given he has made it into Capcom Cup primarily off of being the best in South America, that isn’t necessarily the litmus test to say that he’s going to be a major threat in Anaheim. Sure, you’re the best in your region, but when your region doesn’t see that much international competition, that always puts the question of how ready you are to face the best in the world.

The best thing to do is see what his path was at Brooklyn Beatdown and Evo and how they stopped. His only marked victory at the ESL event was a win over Dieminion, but he soon after dropped to Kazunoko. This also means that he was put into Losers Bracket during pool play. He beat players like Brian_F and Smug at Evo, while losing to Bonchan and Yukadon. Of the international players he’s on the record of having beat, only one of them is currently in Capcom Cup, while the others are not. However, everyone that has beat them are potentially people he could face at Capcom Cup.

This isn’t something that you can say to dismiss him from having a chance. But there’s one more thing.

Everything You Can Do, I Can Do Better

Necalli ShimmyHaitani has been travelling this year, and has done well with Necalli in his own right. Really, the two draw a similar parallel in their play this year, and thus people who would be ready for Haitani would also be ready for Brolynho.

While we could wonder whether Brolynho would have a higher seed than Haitani if he were to travel more, the fact of the matter is that Haitani has been facing the tougher players all year. Brolynho hasn’t. Not only will he have a chance to struggle against those better caliber players, they will also have a chance to show off more understanding of the Necalli match than he is prepared for.

Final Thoughts

Brolynho isn’t the only Latin American in Capcom Cup, but he is arguably the best in the region. While you could wager that MenaRD is better, the results in the region don’t lie: Brolynho is solid. The problem for me is that he’s a big fish in a small pond, and is about to be dumped into the larger one.

He’s been there before, but he hasn’t had a chance to do much to prove that he’s ready to deal with the bigger fish just yet. I’m almost expecting a repeat of his 25th place performance last year, but would love to be surprised.


Check out our prior articles in the Capcom Cup 2017 Player Analysis series!